ad3
143美元!国际油价在冲破“140记录”之后,再度勇往直前,撒腿狂奔。对此一向悲观的国际能源机构(IEA)在7月1日发布报告警告说,未来5年,全球石油市场的供需关系仍将持续紧张。
到底谁在推高油价?全球已经齐齐默认———热钱!
基金吹响“集结号”
“油价上涨的主要原因是期货市场无法控制的炒作,主要就是纽约和伦敦的原油期货市场。几年前美国曾经通过一项规定,允许原油期货交易市场不受美国的监管,从那以后,油价就从60美元直线上涨到了135美元,油价上涨70%的因素都是金融炒作。”来自德国的威廉恩道尔,是《石油战争》一书的作者,在接受媒体采访的时候,明确指出原油期货市场的种种金融炒作是油价疯涨最大的推手。
美国福四通期货经纪公司资深分析师詹姆斯波尔说:“没人知道这个市场里到底有多少资金,据我所知,大约有800只基金集结在原油期货市场,每天的交易量大得惊人,说起基金,可能许多人不太了解,基金就是不管市场走势如何,对它们来说最高兴的就是买进卖出从中渔利,当然我们也不能把高油价全部归罪于这些基金,目前市场中的不确定因素太多,市场波动剧烈,给他们提供了炒作的空间。”
四大银行纷纷出动
有资料显示,从2007年开始,纽约、芝加哥、伦敦的商品交易市场都迎来了大牛市,过去的一年,大约有超过2600亿美元的基金涌入了商品交易市场,和2003年牛市初期相比,增长了近20倍,这其中至少有一半资金,也就是1300亿美元转战在原油期货品种上,记者比较了一下,这大约相当于北京市2007年全年的国内生产总值。
“主要就是那些美国银行,它们因为次贷危机陷入了很深的困境,另外就是对冲基金,目前的油价已经不再受到供需双方的控制,比如沙特阿拉伯、伊朗这样的生产大国,或者中国、日本这样的石油需求大国,它主要被期货市场控制了,像纽约商品期货交易所或者伦敦商品交易所。”
恩道尔指出,美国那些著名的投资银行在这轮行情中扮演了最重要的角色,高盛、花旗、摩根斯坦利、摩根大通是石油期货交易的四大玩家,正是他们在原油期货市场上翻手为云,覆手为雨,掀起了一浪又一浪的油价上涨。
美元疲软回天乏力
“美元有多疲软,国际油价就有多高”几乎成了“定律”。
有熟悉期货市场的专家向记者透露,美元的疲弱态势,具有极强金融属性的原油期货成了众多投资资金的“避风港”。在此影响下,油价一路高歌猛进创下纪录新高。“由于国际市场原油期货交易以美元计价,美元贬值一方面会增加原油期货对持有其他强势货币投资者的吸引力,另一方面还会推动部分持有美元资产的投资者转而买入原油期货,以弥补美元贬值带来的损失。”他一再强调,“目前油价已经到了疯狂的状态。”
郑重声明:本站所载内容不作为投资依据,仅供参考,据此入市,风险自担。
Fund sounded the build-up of financial speculation high oil prices retreat
143 U.S. dollars! International oil prices broke through the "140 Records," and move forward again, Satui wild. This has always been pessimistic about the International Energy Agency (IEA) in the July 1 release report warned that the next five years, global oil market supply and demand relations will continue to tension.
In the end who is pushing up oil prices » Global hot money has been fun - the default!
Fund sounded the "assembly"
"The main reason for rising oil prices are beyond the control of the futures market speculation, is mainly New York and London crude oil futures market. A few years ago the United States has adopted a provision to allow oil futures market without the supervision of the United States, since then, Oil prices on the straight-line rise from 60 U.S. dollars to 135 dollars, rising oil prices are 70 percent of the factors of financial speculation. "Wei Lianen Road from Germany Seoul, is the" oil war "the author of a book, in a media interview when the Expressly stated that the crude oil futures market the various financial speculation is the largest oil prices pushed Feng Zhang hand.
U.S. blessing Stone, senior analyst at futures broker James Boer said: "Nobody knows this market, the number of funds in the end, as far as I know, there are about 800 funds concentrated in crude oil futures market, the daily trading volume in the Alarming, start with the Fund, many people may not know, the Fund is that no matter how the market trend, most of them, is pleased to profit from buy to sell, of course, we can not blame high oil prices all of these funds, Market in too many uncertain factors, the market volatile, they provide a space for speculation. "
The four major banks have mobilized
Information shows that from 2007 onwards, New York, Chicago, London, the commodity trading markets are ushered in the great bull market, the past year, some more than 260 billion U.S. dollars of funds into the commodities market, and the early 2003 bull market Compared to an increase of nearly 20 times, including at least half of funds, which is 130 billion U.S. dollars were transferred in crude oil futures varieties, compared to reporters, roughly equivalent to Beijing's 2007 annual gross domestic product.
"Bank of America is mainly those who, because of their credits into a deep crisis in the plight of other hedge funds is, the current oil prices are no longer under the control of both supply and demand, such as Saudi Arabia, Iran's largest producer, or China Japan's oil demand this big country, it was the main control of the futures market, like the New York Mercantile Exchange or london commodity exchange. "
N'Dour pointed out that those well-known U.S. investment bank in this market to play a round of the most important role, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan Chase is the four oil futures players, is in crude oil futures market Fanshou on the clouds, rain for a review in hand, set off a wave another wave of rising oil prices.
A weak dollar Huitianfali
"How weak dollar and high international oil prices have" almost become a "law."
Are familiar with the futures market expert, revealed to reporters, the dollar's weak trend, with strong financial attributes of crude a large investment funds "safe haven." In this under the influence, all the way Gaogemengjin oil prices hit a new record high. "As the international market to dollar-denominated crude oil futures trading, the dollar's depreciation will increase crude oil futures on the one hand the holders of other strong currency attractive to investors, on the other hand will also promote the part of investors holding U.S. dollar assets instead of buying crude oil Futures, to compensate for the depreciation of the dollar losses. "He repeatedly stressed that" the current oil price has reached a frenzied state. "
Solemnly declare: this site contained not as an investment basis, for reference purposes only and thus enter the market, own risk.