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国外机构分析师指出,现货金在本周上涨后试图重新测试1,000美元大关,从技术面来看,金价确有进一步上涨的空间,但这种涨势不会一蹴而就。
分析师指出,金价目前已升破自4月17日高点952.60美元至5月22日高点935.30美元的下行趋势线,此前金价曾在3月17日触及每盎司1030.80美元的纪录最高价位。
分析师指出,目前的黄金价格技术面型态与06年时相似,当时金价在涨至28年高位后回落,这种型态暗示今年的金价可能已经触底。
TheSarhanAnalysis.com的创立者Adam Sarhan表示:“黄金只是在对过去数月的前期跌势进行整固,从技术角度来看,市场暂停数月进行盘整是非常正常的。此后,金价预计将再度冲破一切阻力。”
Sarhan指出,金价在6月26日的活跃交投中升破50日、90日移动均线等多个趋势线,于915美元附近发出了技术性买入讯号。但是,过去数月金价已在200日移动均线上方寻获支撑,目前交投水准远高于50日移动均线。
Sarhan认为金价的下一道目标位是956.20美元的阻力位。
◎当前金价走势与06年颇为相似
市场研究机构Analytics Research的总裁Hans Kashyap表示,黄金从3月纪录高位展开的修正“是完美且有规则的走势”,市场今年已经触及底部。这是因为今年3月到5月的修正幅度与06年时相仿,当时金价从06年5月高位跌至06年10月时的底部,累计下跌了195美元。
Hans
Kashyap指出表示,一旦趋势建立,市场将多少保持自己的特征,因此回跌和上涨将大体相当。今年的正常回调幅度预计在190-195美元左右。
他还表示,基于06年的价格走势,今年7月内金价应触及960美元,之后需到10月份才可能升至1000美元。
但另一市场研究机构MarketClub.com的总裁Adam Hewison认为,一旦金价突破935美元的关键阻力位,就有可能在短短数周内测试1000美元关口。
他表示,市场并不担心金市的超买状况,即便相对强弱指标正徘徊于75附近,该水平被技术分析师视为超买讯号。
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Futures的资深交易员Larry Young也表示,金价月线在周二突破通道至937.70美元,预示后市将升向950美元。他还指出,近期的黄金周线图呈现“W”的双底型态,是一项多头讯号。
Sarhan指出:“人们看重技术图表,是因为这是衡量投资者心态的好方法。不是基本面让我们赚钱或亏钱,而是全来自于价格的变动。”
郑重声明:本站所载内容不作为投资依据,仅供参考,据此入市,风险自担。
Experts: Probe into gold is expected to 1000 U.S. dollars
Foreign institutions, analysts said spot gold rose this week after attempts to re-test 1,000 U.S. dollars mark, from a technical perspective, gold does have room for further gains, but such gains will not be accomplished overnight.
Analysts pointed out that gold has now broken up since the April 17 high of 952.60 U.S. dollars between May 22 high of 935.30 U.S. dollars down the trend line, after gold in the March 17 hit a record 1030.80 U.S. dollars an ounce, the highest Price.
Analysts pointed out that the current gold price and technical patterns similar to when 06, when gold rose to 28 in the fall after the peak, that this type of gold this year may have bottomed out.
TheSarhanAnalysis.com the founder Adam Sarhan said: "The only gold in the past few months the decline in pre-consolidation, from a technical point of view, the market several months suspended for consolidation is very normal. Since then, the gold is expected to break through again All kinds of resistance. "
Sarhan, gold in the June 26 turnover in the active or break 50, 90-day moving average, and so the trend line in the vicinity of 915 U.S. dollars issued a technical buy signal. However, over the past few months has gold in the 200-day moving average located at the top of the support, currently trading well above the standard 50-day moving average.
Sarhan of the view that gold is under a target of the resistance at 956.20 U.S. dollars.
◎ current price trend is similar with 06
Market research institutions Analytics Research president Hans Kashyap said that gold from the record high in March launched the amendment "is perfect and there is the trend of the rules", the market has hit bottom this year. This is because this year in March to May of that range and 06, similar to that gold from the May 06 high of October 06 fell to the bottom of a total of 195 U.S. dollars down.
Hans
Kashyap said that if trends established, the market will maintain its characteristics of the number, fell and rose to a general. The normal rate this year is expected pullback in the 190-195 dollars.
He also said that based on the price of 06, gold in July this year should reach 960 U.S. dollars, followed by the need to be before October rose to 1,000 U.S. dollars.
However, another market research organization MarketClub.com Adam Hewison, president of the view that, once the gold break through the key 935 U.S. dollars resistance, it is possible in a few short weeks, testing 1,000 U.S. dollars juncture.
He said that the market is not worried that the city's ultra-buy situation, even if relative strength index is hovering at around 75, the level of technical analyst was seen as overbought signals.
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Futures, a senior trader Larry Young also said that the gold on Tuesday breakthrough in the line access to 937.70 U.S. dollars, indicates investors will be up to 950 U.S. dollars. He also noted that the recent Golden Week map showed "W" the double bottom pattern is a bullish signal.
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