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“我们现在的目标是成为全世界最赚钱的银行,我想大概用不了五年的时间。”在昨日的2007年度股东年会上,中国工商银行董事长姜建清在场的股东表示。 尽管近期工行的股价也表现不佳,但此次股东年会还是吸引了众多机构投资者参与。对于投资者们关心的贷款质量,企业盈利能力下滑以及地震对银行的影响等方面的问题,姜建清董事长和杨凯生行长做了一一解答。
瞄准全球最赚钱银行
姜建清透露,从2006年开始,工行连续两年成为亚洲最赚钱银行,目前工行正朝着全球最赚钱的银行迈进,这一目标有望五年内达到。
“这倒不是因为我们自己进步得太快,而是华尔街和欧洲的很多银行表现得太不理想。”姜建清表示。
去年下半年爆发的次贷危机使得很多国际大牌银行相继爆出数十亿美元的巨亏,然而与此同时,中国银行业的业绩却好的几乎让国际同行眼红。根据工行2007年年报,按照国际财务报告准则,该行去年实现税后利润人民币823亿元,同比增长64.9%。
当前,利差收入占到国内银行收入的绝大部分,要做到全球最赚钱银行是否意味着工行的信贷增速必须保持在一个较高水平呢?
对此,工行行长杨凯生表示,从2003年到现在,我们的贷款年复合增长率为10.1%,与GDP的增长大体相当,今后还会坚持这样一个发展战略。“我们觉得这样的贷款增长速度和我们目前的盈利能力增长要求和信贷管理水平是相适应的。”他表示。
据香港媒体报道,姜建清会后还表示,集团计划重组在香港的业务,包括将工商国际和工商东亚重新整合分工,以便发挥优势,而且不会互相竞争。但暂时无意把工银亚洲私有化。
地震对工行贷款质量影响有限
有股东问及地震对工行贷款质量的影响,杨凯生表示,由于工行在地震受灾地区的贷款占比很小,因此此次地震对工行贷款质量的实际影响十分有限。他还表示,灾后贷款如果发生损失,工行将按照实事求是、依法合规的原则处理。
根据他提供的数据,工行在四川省的贷款只占工行贷款余额的2.8%,该行四川省的房地产开发贷款占工行整个贷款比重为0.27%,个人住房贷款只占0.5%。
客户盈利水平下降10%不会明显影响工行贷款质量
谈及客户盈利水平下降对工行贷款质量可能带来的影响,杨凯生表示,根据该行的压力测试结果,如果工行客户的盈利水平平均下降10%,不会对该行的贷款质量产生明显影响。
杨凯生认为,从理论上讲,企业利润下降会影响企业的盈利能力,从而影响到银行的资产质量。但是,真正会不会发生影响以及影响程度,则取决于这家银行的客户结构。如果这家银行优质客户、盈利强的客户占比比较大,那么它受的影响就会比较小。
据他透露,到今年一季度末,工行A级以上客户占比超过了90%,大概接近93%,所以今年以来尽管工行发现一些企业盈利能力增速放缓,但是没有感到对他们的偿债能力有什么影响。
杨凯生还表示,从该行目前房地产开发贷款和个人按揭贷款的质量、房地产开发贷款和个人按揭贷款占比以及剩余的按揭贷款的成数等一系列数据来看,他对未来工行保持房地产开发贷款和个人按揭贷款的质量十分有信心。
据他提供的数据,到一季度末,工行房地产开发贷款的不良率只有1.86%,个人按揭贷款的不良率只有0.79%。同时,目前工行的房地产开发贷款和按揭贷款的占比并不高。其中,房地产开发贷款占全部贷款的比率只有7.3%,个人住房贷款占比为13.2%。并且到目前为止,工行按揭贷款剩余的成数不足五成,这对贷款的质量也提供了有力的支持。
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ICBC goal: five years as the world's most profitable bank
"Our goal now is to become the world's most profitable bank, I think probably the time to the front of five years." During yesterday's 2007 annual shareholders annual meeting, the Industrial and Commercial Bank of China chairman Jiang Jianqing said that the presence of the shareholders. While the recent ICBC's shares have poor performance, but the shareholders, will still attract a large participation of institutional investors. For investors concerned about credit quality, corporate profitability fell and the impact of earthquakes on the banks, and other aspects of the issue, Jiang Jianqing, chairman and president Yang Kaisheng done a January 1 answer.
Aim at the world's most profitable bank
Jiang Jianqing said from the beginning of 2006, the line for two consecutive years as Asia's most profitable bank, the ICBC is moving the world's most profitable bank forward, this goal is expected to achieve within five years.
"This is not because of our own progress too quickly, but many on Wall Street and European banks too unsatisfactory performance." Jiang Jianqing said.
The outbreak of the second half of last year, loan-to-crisis makes a lot of the big international banks have billions of dollars in爆出Jukui, but at the same time, China's banking sector's performance is almost good for the international peer jealous. According to the ICBC 2007 Annual Report, in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards, the bank realized after-tax profits last year, 82.3 billion yuan, an increase of 64.9 percent.
At present, spreads income accounted for the vast majority of the domestic banking income, to be the world's most profitable banks mean that the bank's credit growth must be maintained at a high level? »
In response, ICBC president Yang Kaisheng said that from 2003 to the present, our compound annual growth rate of loans, 10.1 percent, and GDP growth is largely the future, will adhere to such a development strategy. "We feel that this loan growth and profitability of our current growth in demand and credit management level is in line." He said.
According to media reports, Jiang Jianqing also said after the meeting, the Group plans to rationalize their operations in Hong Kong, including the Commerce, Industry and International Trade and Industry of East Asia, re-integration division of labour, in order to play to their advantages, but will not compete with each other. But the time being no intention to privatize the Bank of Asia.
Earthquakes on the bank loans have limited impact on the quality of
Shareholders have asked the ICBC and the earthquake's impact on credit quality, Yang Kaisheng said that since the earthquake affected areas of the bank loans accounted very small, so the earthquake on the quality of bank loans of the actual impact is very limited. He also said that disaster loans if the loss occurred, in accordance with the will be seeking truth from facts, according to the law of the principle of the regulation.
According to the information provided by him, the bank's Sichuan Province ICBC loans accounted for only 2.8% of the balance of loans, the bank's Sichuan Province in real estate development loans accounted for the entire bank loans to 0.27 percent the proportion of individual housing loans accounted for only 0.5 percent.
Customer profit fell 10 percent level will not significantly affect the quality of bank loans
Turning to the decrease in the level of profitability, the Bank Loan quality possible impact, Yang Kaisheng said that under the pressure of the line test results, if the bank's profitability, declined 10 percent, not the quality of the Bank loan Have a significant impact.
Yang Kaisheng, in theory, would affect corporate profits decline in corporate profitability, thereby affecting the bank's asset quality. However, the real impact will not happen and the impact of this will depend on the bank's customer structure. If these banks, high-quality, profitability and strong customer accounted more, then it will be affected by the relatively small.
He disclosed that at the end of the first quarter of this year, the ICBC A-level and above, more than accounted for 90 percent, probably closer to 93 percent, so far this year despite the bank found that the profitability of some enterprises, the growth rate slowed down, but did not feel to them What is the impact of solvency.
Yang Kaisheng survivors said that the bank from the current real estate development loans and the quality of personal mortgage loans, real estate development loans and individual mortgage loans and the remaining share of the percentage of mortgage loans, and other data, he will work for the future Maintain the real estate development loans and individual mortgage loans in the quality very confident.
According to the information provided to the end of the first quarter, the real estate development loans to poor rate of only 1.86 percent, and personal mortgage loans in negative rate of only 0.79 percent. At the same time, the bank's real estate development loans and mortgage loans as a share is not high. Among them, real estate development loans ratio of total loans only 7.3 percent, individual housing loans accounted for 13.2 percent. And so far, the bank the remaining 10% of mortgage loans with less than 50%, this quality of the loans have provided strong support.
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